* With roughly 40 days left in Taiwan's presidential and legislative elections, President Tsai Ing-wen is poised to win the reelection in a convincing fashion. Barring something unforeseen, the margin of victory over opposition KMT's Han Kuo-yu might be larger than that of 2016, when KMT nominee, Eric Chu, lost by over 25% and three million votes to Tsai.
* The ruling DPP, on the other hand, is projected to win the majority of the 113-seat Legislative Yuan (LY) again. The final numbers may depend on what happens in the next 40 days, especially in some toss-up district races. In addition, with the DPP now viewed more favourably than the KMT, the ruling party will likely secure a larger share of the 34-seat at-large representation.
* IN spite of its impressive victory in last year's mayoral elections, so many things have gone wrong for the KMT in this year's contest. From the presidential primary to its inability to achieve and maintain intra-party unity, the outcome on 1/11 should not surprise many. From policy to leadership, the party will be under close scrutiny after the vote. Depending on the final vote tallies, it probably won't be easy to recouperate from the loss.
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