Wednesday, June 5, 2019

Party Primaries Take Center Stage

* The ruling DPP gets ready for the final stretch of its presidential primary in the next ten days. There will be a televised policy platform on 6/8, and the opinion polls will take place during 6/10-6/14. The result should be available on 6/15.
* The opposition KMT, on the other hand, is still making the rounds among the five presidential aspirants. The polling will not take place until early July, with the nominee expected in mid-July. It remains essentially a two-man race between Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu and Foxconn Chair Terry Gou.
* Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je is still the wild card. It is believed that he will run because: (1) the two leading parties--the KMT and the DPP--have serious concerns over intra-party unity after their respective primaries, and (2) 2020 is likely the only opportunity that Ko has regarding a presidential bid. Things are much more complicated for 2024, with young and upcoming political stars like Taoyuan Mayor Cheng Wen-tsai (DPP) and Party Caucus Whip Johnny Jiang (KMT). Ko knows his time is now, and he will launch a presidential campaign by August.

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